A level 3 (enhanced) risk area has been delineated for tomorrow. For Sunday, a level 1 (marginal) risk zone has also been defined. TOMORROW There have been no changes to our thinking. Setup Model guidance continues to advertise strong…
A warm up is in store for parts of the eastern two-thirds of the nation. This comes after a very cold start to March. The current pattern across the continental U.S. is currently being driven by a negative phase of…
There has not been much change in our thinking regarding the severe weather threat this weekend. Setup Strong to severe storms are going to be possible along/ahead of an east moving front Saturday into Sunday. Favorable parameters for severe thunderstorm…
A vigorous storm system is still expected to eject out of the Plains over the weekend. Warm, humid air inland will be advected inland ahead of a trailing front, which will destablize the atmosphere. The result will be a renewed…
A negatively tilted trough is going to lift out of the Plains and into the Great Lakes Saturday into Saturday night. At the same time, a deepening low is expected to bring a trailing front east. Warm and humid Gulf…
The Lee County, AL tornado is now being given a preliminary rating of EF-4 by the National Weather Service. Max sustained winds are estimated to have been 170 mph. The other tornado that tracked into Lee County has been rated…
Since the passage of yesterday’s front, winter has returned with a vengeance. Freeze warnings are in effect for both tomorrow morning (see figure 1) and Wednesday morning for a large chunk of the Gulf Coast states. There is a hard…
A total of 19 tornadoes have reported in Alabama and Georgia thus far today. Many of these reports are from Alabama, where multiple confirmed tornadoes touched down this afternoon. Lee County, AL was hit hard, with two strong twisters taking…
A tornado watch has been issued for southeast Louisiana and Mississippi, all of south Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle until 6 PM CST this evening. Primary threats include… Tornadoes with a couple intense tornadoes possible. Widespread damaging winds with…
There have been some changes with what is expected in regard to the severe weather threat later today. Initially we were expecting the main convective mode to be linear with damaging winds and an isolated tornado or two being the…