The is now an enhanced (level 3 out of 5) risk for severe storms from south Alabama (just north of Mobile) into southwest Georgia. Short-range mesoscale models are now indicating that supercells and/or storm clusters ahead of the main line…
A band of storms is going to form just ahead of a strong cold front early tomorrow afternoon across Mississippi and east/southeast Louisiana. Once formed, it will progress east through the day. But by the evening/overnight hours, CAPE should decrease,…
The much advertised arctic blast arrives Sunday into Monday. We will have to deal with a severe weather threat first. However, once the front is through on Sunday, a significantly colder air mass is going to push in beneath a…
An area of low pressure and strong arctic front are going to transport warm, moist air from the Gulf into the Southeast Sunday. A squall line is expected to develop ahead of the front Sunday morning/early afternoon, over the lower…
Looking ahead to this weekend, model guidance is projecting an organized line of storms to develop ahead of a strong arctic front Sunday, over the lower Mississippi Valley. During the day, the line will sweep east in tandem with the…
A wave low pressure is forecast to track across the South this weekend. Timing was looking like Monday – Tuesday yesterday, but now looks more like Saturday – Sunday. Model guidance differs slightly. However, the overall consensus is for the…
Meteorological spring might start on Friday. But as has been discussed, winter is finally going to make a reappearance next week as the large-scale pattern flips. Computer models are showing a strong trough sweeping across the eastern two-thirds of the…
A passing shortwave is going to bring scattered to numerous showers and some embedded thunderstorms to the north and northeast Gulf Coast Thursday. We anticipate another low-end severe threat. The Storm Prediction Center has defined a level 1 out of…
Some strong to severe storms are possible tomorrow from southeast Texas to southwest Alabama. A warm front is going to lift north, allowing for scattered showers/storms to develop. A few clusters of storms are also likely. Overall, the dynamics are…
It still looks like we are going to turn much colder going into March. Both the EPS and GEFS continue to suggest that we are going to have predominantly lower heights across the eastern two-thirds of the country by the…