Severe Threat to Shift East

Our second disturbance is set to eject out of Texas and into the lower Mississippi River Valley tonight through tomorrow night/early Monday.  Several waves of storms are still expected, with heavy rain and at least a few strong/severe storms likely.…

Update on Today’s Severe Weather Threat

A level 3 (enhanced) risk for severe weather has now been outlined from east-central Texas to far northwest Mississippi for today (see figure 1). Currently, a mesoscale convective system (MCS) is tracking east across northeast Texas. This MCS is sub-severe,…

Heavy Rain With Severe Weather Potential Tomorrow

A shortwave trough is going to track quickly across the lower Mississippi Valley and Tennessee Valley tomorrow into tomorrow night. Multiple rounds of widespread showers and thunderstorms will be likely from east Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi during the day. Activity…

Nor’easter to Impact East Coast

A nor’easter is beginning to take shape off of the Southeast this morning. Over the next 24 – 36 hours, it will rapidly deepen (intensify) while paralleling the Eastern Seaboard, eventually becoming a hurricane-force low. While not expected, it is…

Potential for Severe Weather Late This Week

A shortwave and surface low are expected to track from the Plains Thursday to the Mid-Atlantic by Friday. Ahead of these features, moisture will be transported north, ultimately aiding in the development of widespread showers/thunderstorms (see figure 1). High CAPE…

Late Season Nor’easter Likely This Week

A late season nor’easter is likely to impact parts of the East Coast Tuesday and Wednesday. Model guidance is indicating that an of low pressure is going to form either over the Southeast or northeast Gulf of Mexico late tomorrow.…