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  • Tropics, Featured

Tropical Update | Isaac Struggling; Kirk Could Develop in the Gulf

Tropical Storm Isaac has been struggling today. Track:  There have been no major adjustments to Isaac’s track; a generally west to west-northwest motion is still expected through this weekend. Isaac will pass through the Lesser Antilles tomorrow, and will move into…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 12, 2018, 10:09 pm CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Tropical Update | Florence now Expected to Stall on Approach to North Carolina

There have been some major changes in regard to the track of Florence over the past day. Track: Florence will continue to be steered to the west-northwest to northwest around the periphery of the Bermuda high through today, and will approach…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 12, 2018, 2:16 pm CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Tropical Update | Florence an Extremely Dangerous Category 4; Little Change with Isaac

Florence rapidly intensified over the course of the day, and is once again an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane. On the other hand, there has been little change with Isaac. Florence: As of the 5 PM EDT advisory, Florence was moving…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 11, 2018, 1:26 am CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Tropical Update | Caribbean Disturbance a Threat to Develop in the Gulf of Mexico

While we continue to monitor Florence and Isaac, an area of disturbed weather in the Northwest Caribbean warrants monitoring for development when it moves into the Gulf later this week. Strong upper-level winds are currently hampering any organization. However, upper-level…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 10, 2018, 2:52 pm CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Tropical Update | Florence a Major Hurricane Threat for the Southeast; Isaac Likely to Become a Hurricane

The Atlantic remains very, very active in regard to tropical activity, which is not unusual as we are in the peak of the season. Currently there are a total of four systems in the Atlantic: Florence, Isaac, Helene, and Invest…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 9, 2018, 12:57 am CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Tropical Update | Invest 92L Heading Toward the Caribbean

Gordon has moved well inland after landfall Tuesday night, but the Atlantic Basin is still very active. There are currently 3 active systems being monitored: Hurricane Florence, Invest 92L, and Invest 93L (see figure 1). Florence: We mentioned over the weekend…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 7, 2018, 2:27 am CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Gordon Strengthening; Expected to Make Landfall Tomorrow Night as a Hurricane

As of the 7 PM CDT intermediate advisory, Tropical Storm Gordon was located about 95 miles West of Ft. Myers, FL, moving west-northwest at about 17 mph. Max sustained winds were 60 mph, with a minimum central pressure of 1003…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 4, 2018, 12:50 am CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Invest 91L Tagged in Bahamas; Likely to Develop

The tropical wave we have been tracking for the past several days has been designated Invest 91L by the National Hurricane Center (NHC), and is likely to develop between now and Wednesday. Satellite imagery reveals that 91L has a decent…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 2, 2018, 2:42 pm CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Florence Forms; Potential for Gulf Development Increasing

Tropical Storm Florence has formed off of Africa’s West Coast, near the Cabo Verde Islands. Meanwhile, the potential for tropical development in the Gulf early this upcoming week is increasing. Florence: As of the 11 AM AST advisory, Florence had max…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 1, 2018, 3:06 pm CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Tropical Wave Could Develop in Gulf of Mexico Next Week

The tropical wave near the Lesser Antilles we discussed in our previous update is located near Hispaniola this evening. Satellite images show that it is producing a large area of disorganized  convection, but strong upper level winds are still hindering…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • August 31, 2018, 2:01 am CDT
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