Tropical Update | Watching 99-L; Ernesto to Become Extratropical Soon

We continue to monitor Invest 99-L, tracking west to west-northwest over the Tropical Atlantic, and Tropical Storm Ernesto in the North-Central Atlantic. Invest 99-L: Overall, 99-L continues to be disorganized. Convective (shower/thunderstorm) activity has become less robust since yesterday. There also…

Invest 99-L Tagged in East Atlantic

A tropical wave in located in the East Atlantic has been tagged invest 99-L. Satellite images show that  invest 99-L currently has a decent amount of convective (shower/thunderstorm) activity. Though, the latest 850 millibar (mb) vorticity chart (see figure 2)…

Tropical Update | Subtropical Storm Debby Forms

A non-tropical area of low pressure (Invest 97-l) that the National Hurricane Center has been monitoring over the North Atlantic for the past few has managed to develop into a subtropical cyclone, and is now Subtropical Storm (STS) Debby. Intensity…

Another Pattern Change Next Week

Another change to the upper-level pattern change is on the way. Mid to late week next week, a cut-off low is likely going to develop over the Southern Plains. This should lead to increased/above average precipitation — particularly for Texas…

Some Strong/Severe Storms Possible from Southeast TX into AL Today

Some strong/severe storms will be possible from Southeast Texas to Alabama through this evening along and ahead of a front. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted a “marginal” risk area. A few organized clusters/complexes, such as the once currently impacting…

Cool, Unsettled Pattern Next Week

The pattern change we discussed in our previous post settles in next week. A trough is going to dig into the Central part of the country this weekend, sending a front across the Southern tier of the country. Early next…