Some Snow Likely Tuesday

In regard to Tuesday, with global models still in excellent agreement, some snow is now likely as a strong arctic front swings across the South. There have not really been any changes since yesterday. Accumulations: Generally speaking, the greatest chance…

Snow Possible Tuesday

There continues to be good agreement among global model guidance for a winter weather event for parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama Tuesday. Additionally, since yesterday, there has been a southward trend. Both the GFS and ECMWF now have some…

Major Arctic Outbreak Expected Next Week

A lobe of the tropospheric polar vortex is going to drop into lower 48 next week. Both the GFS and ECMWF, along with their respective ensemble packages, are in agreement on a piece of the vortex dipping into the Great…

Severe Weather Threat Today and Tomorrow

A storm system located in the Southern Plains is going to begin the trek toward the Tennessee Valley today. Like we discussed, this system will bring a trailing front through the South. There will be a severe threat along/ahead of the…

Storms Friday – Saturday; Arctic Blast to Follow

An arctic blast this weekend is still expected to be preceded by impacts from a large storm system. marginal SEVERE THREAT: Friday night into Saturday, an area of low pressure is going to track from the Southern Plains to the…

Arctic Blast This Weekend

An expansive storm system is going to impact the eastern 2/3 of the country this weekend. Widespread rain and storms will be likely from Texas to the Florida Panhandle along/ahead of a trailing front Friday – Saturday. Some strong to…

Turning Colder to End January?

Teleconnections are going to favor generally above normal to normal temperatures across much of the lower 48 for the next 1 – 2 weeks. A few shot of cold air or two is certainly possible, though. However, as we head…

Threat for Strong to Severe Storms to Ring in 2019

Initially, we expect storms to form along an eastward moving front late this morning and early this afternoon. Meanwhile, a broken band of storms will also evolve during the afternoon/evening hours (see figure 1). This band will move in tandem…