Threat for Strong to Severe Storms to Ring in 2019

Figure 1. HRRR simulated radar for 12 PM CST this afternoon. Credit: Weatherbell

Initially, we expect storms to form along an eastward moving front late this morning and early this afternoon.

Meanwhile, a broken band of storms will also evolve during the afternoon/evening hours (see figure 1). This band will move in tandem with the front. However, it will weaken going into the late evening and overnight, as the better dynamics shift northeast.

With a strong low-level jet in place over the lower Mississippi Valley, a few strong to severe storms are likely to ring in 2019.

Figure 2. Severe weather outlook for today and tonight.

The Storm Prediction center has included part of east Louisiana, and much of Mississippi and Alabama, in a level 1 (marginal) risk area. Additionally, all of east Mississippi and northwest Alabama have also been placed in a level 2 (slight) risk area.

The main concern with any strong/severe storms will be tornado potential. But damaging winds will also be a threat.

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