A significant severe weather event is expected to unfold across the Lower Mississippi Valley into the Tennessee Valley today. Setup/Timing We will have a squall line develop from east Texas to southern Arkansas later this morning; it will then progress…
We continue to monitor the threat for severe weather tomorrow. Overall, there have been no major changes. Saturday A band of storms is expected to develop from east Texas into Arkansas during the morning hours (see figure 1). This activity should…
Las Vegas and surrounding areas got some snow overnight and this morning (yes, snow). And believe it or not, this is not the first time this winter either. According to National Weather Service (NWS) Las Vegas, the daily snowfall record…
The threat for severe weather this weekend has increased. Setup As we discussed in our previous update, a storm system is going to lift out of the Plains and into the Great Lakes Saturday. Through the day, a warm front…
For the past few weeks, a negative phase of the Pacific North American Pattern (PNA) has dominated the weather across North America. The result has been generally mild conditions in the East, and record cold out West. Below-Average Temperatures Likely…
The threat for flooding will continue across parts of the South through Sunday, with an additional of 1 – 4″ of rain forecast. However, the main concern this weekend will be the possibility of severe weather Saturday. Setup A potent…
A heavy rain/flood threat is going still in store for the South this week . There are also now two separate severe weather threats to watch this week. Heavy Rain/Flood Threat Before we get to the severe weather potential, we…
A multi-day excessive rain event is likely to unfold across parts of the South this upcoming week. Additionally, there is also some potential for severe storms. Setup To simplify things, an active storm track and stalled front will work to…
Heavy rain is likely across portions of the South next week. We briefly touched on the overall the setup for next week in this update from Wednesday. A ridge anchored over the Southeast; deepening trough pivoting into the Rockies; active…
El Niño has officially been declared by the Climate Prediction Center. According to the ENSO Diagnostics discussion for February, borderline, weak El Niño conditions are present across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Weak El Niño conditions are favored to continue through spring.…