A multi-day excessive rain event is likely to unfold across parts of the South this upcoming week. Additionally, there is also some potential for severe storms. Setup To simplify things, an active storm track and stalled front will work to…
Heavy rain is likely across portions of the South next week. We briefly touched on the overall the setup for next week in this update from Wednesday. A ridge anchored over the Southeast; deepening trough pivoting into the Rockies; active…
El Niño has officially been declared by the Climate Prediction Center. According to the ENSO Diagnostics discussion for February, borderline, weak El Niño conditions are present across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Weak El Niño conditions are favored to continue through spring.…
A trough is predicted to pivot into the Rockies early next week. Meanwhile, the ridge that has been in place across the Southeast is expected to strengthen. This should allow for a more amplified of the subtropical jet stream. It…
A weak spin-up tornado occurred in Leake County, MS this morning along the Natchez Trace. The tornado tracked a little over 4 miles. According to the preliminary damage survey, it was and EF- with peak winds estimated to be 90…
A broken band of rain with some embedded thunderstorms is still expected to form tonight in association with a cold front. However, there is no longer a threat for severe weather. The Storm Prediction Center has removed he marginal risk…
A few strong to severe storms will be possible from east Texas to the western Florida Panhandle tomorrow into Tuesday with a cold front. Tomorrow The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has defined a marginal risk area from east Texas to…
A wintry mix of rain, sleet, and snow is ongoing across parts of East Texas into Northwest Louisiana. Accordingly, Winter Weather Advisories have been hoisted (see figure 1). No significant accumulations are expected. However, slick spots are possible tonight –…
Spring-like weather is likely to continue into at least the middle of the month. Based on the latest the EPS and GEFS runs, above-average heights are favored across much of the Southeast through the 10-day period. Conversely, below-average heights are…
We had a major arctic blast to close out January, which brought some snow to the Deep South. However, the first few days of February will be very different. Next Week: Starting early next week, upper-level ridging will build across…