Turning Colder to End January?

cpc temp outlook 1 5 19.gif
Figure 1. Temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for January 19th – February 1st.

Teleconnections are going to favor generally above normal to normal temperatures across much of the lower 48 for the next 1 – 2 weeks. A few shot of cold air or two is certainly possible, though.

However, as we head toward the latter half of the month, substantial changes appear possible.

A split/displacement of the polar vortex could cause a switch to a much colder and stormy pattern.

Both the CFS and ECMWF EPS weeklies were in agreement on below-average temperatures for the last few days of January going into February (in their most recent runs). This agreement increases confidence in a cold and stormy pattern evolving in the 3 – 4 week period.

But, it should be noted that there is still uncertainty, as this is at least 3 weeks away.

The main takeaway here is below-average temperatures and above-average precipitation are very possible at the end the month going into February.

For future updates, be sure to follow us on Instagram.  

You can also follow us on Facebook  and Twitter.

Get our latest website posts sent to you via email by subscribing here.