A cold front is going to drop down into the north/central Gulf Coast tonight into tomorrow. It is expected to stall out This will result in a very unsettled weather pattern and multiple rounds storms and heavy rain across the…
The tropics continue to heat up. The tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic was tagged Invest 94L Thursday night. It is increasingly likely that Invest 94L will develop into a tropical cyclone sometime early/mid next week as it heads west.…
The tropics are starting to get a bit more active. A tropical wave in the far eastern tropical Atlantic, just off of the African coast, is being monitored for development early next week as it tracks west. Conditions appear somewhat…
The National Hurricane Center is watching the western Caribbean for possible tropical development. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form in the southwest Caribbean by Wednesday or Thursday and could slowly develop as it lifts northwest. Model…
There is now a high chance that the first tropical cyclone of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season will form in the northwest Caribbean or southern Gulf of Mexico late this week. Model guidance is in agreement on a broad, east-weighted…
It is looking increasingly likely that there will be early season tropical development in either the southwest Gulf or northwest Caribbean next week. Model guidance continues to be in agreement on development by mid/late next week. However, some differences remain.…
For the past several model cycles guidance has been generally consistent with the idea of some sort of tropical system developing in either the southwestern Gulf or northwest Caribbean in 7 – 10 days. Unlike the recent GFS ‘modelcane’ there…
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center released their outlook for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season this morning. Similar to other outlooks issued, such as the one issued by Colorado State University last month, NOAA is predicting…
The National Hurricane Center has tagged an area of interest in the north central Gulf of Mexico in their 2 PM EDT tropical weather outlook. Note that this disturbance is completely unrelated to the spurious hurricane the GFS was showing…
While the GFS ‘modelcane’ is unsurprisingly not going to verify, some tropical moisture is going to make its way north this weekend into next week. High pressure nosing into the southeast from the Atlantic will help advect moisture into the…