The National Hurricane Center has tagged an area of interest in the north central Gulf of Mexico in their 2 PM EDT tropical weather outlook.
Note that this disturbance is completely unrelated to the spurious hurricane the GFS was showing last week and is the remnants of a mesoscale convective system (MCS).
Satellite imagery shows the remnants of a mesoscale convective system (MCS) over the Gulf this AM. Tropical development is not expected as conditions are not favorable. However, it has caused some squally weather in the FL Panhandle. pic.twitter.com/Kds6Aaz2zE
— Gulf Coast Storm Center (@GCSCWX) May 22, 2022
Development is not expected as the disturbance is currently under 20 to 30 kts of wind shear with dry air lurking nearby. It also has only roughly 12 to 24 hours before it moves ashore in southwest Alabama or the western Florida Panhandle.
While tropical cyclogenesis is unlikely, it will continue to bring periods of heavy rain and squally conditions to parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle through tomorrow.
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