Flash Flooding, Strong/Severe Storms Possible Tomorrow and Saturday

A surface low is going to develop along the western Gulf Coast in association with a shortwave tomorrow. From there, the low will track generally east, along the northern Gulf Coast, through Saturday.  Excessive rainfall is likely, and there will be a low-end severe weather threat. The latter is going …

Impactful Storm System now Likely to Close out the Week

An impactful storm system is now likely to close out the week; it will bring heavy rain and the potential for strong/severe storms from Texas to the Florida Panhandle Friday through Saturday. On Friday, a surface low is expected to develop along the Western Gulf Coast. This will be in …

Potential for Strong/Severe Storms Tonight into Tomorrow

A surface low pressure system is going to lift northeast into the Great Lakes overnight and tomorrow. There will be a trailing front that will push east; it is going to slow/stall across MS, AL, and the FL Panhandle. Over the next couple of hours: scattered storms will develop across east …

Heavy Rain and Severe Threat Monday Ahead of a Strong Cold Front

An upper-level trough is going to dig southward Monday and Tuesday, bringing another strong cold front with it. Heavy rain An area of surface low pressure is expected to develop over the Northwest Gulf late tomorrow/Monday in association with the front; it will track northeast into the central Gulf Coast …

Coldest air of the Season so Far Arrives This Weekend; Likely to Stick Around Into Next Week

The coldest air of the season so far is on the way this weekend. Meanwhile, a second,  more significant blast of arctic air is likely next week. The latest 6 – 10 day temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center reflects this well (see figure 1). Initially it looked like …