The National Hurricane Center is now monitoring the area of low pressure that has been sitting along the Northern Gulf Coast since Saturday for tropical development. We mentioned this potential last Tuesday (link). In their 2:00 PM CDT tropical weather…
A trough of surface low pressure has formed over the Northeast Gulf of Mexico. This trough is going to track slowly west along the Northern Gulf Coast this week (see figure 2), resulting in very wet, unsettled weather tomorrow through…
There is a low chance for tropical development in the Gulf during the first half of next week. The ridge that is going to be in place over the Central and Eastern U.S. next week could help spark TC genesis…
There continues to be a chance for tropical development in the Western Gulf of Mexico over the next few days. A trough of low pressure currently located over the West-Central Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized thunderstorm activity; it will…
A tropical disturbance (Invest 91L) currently located in the Western Caribbean is going to track northwest into the Western Gulf of Mexico during the latter half of the week. Development is unlikely over the next 2 – 3 days due…
Subtropical Storm Alberto formed over the Northwest Caribbean today, and will impact the Northern Gulf Coast late this weekend into early next week. Both a tropical storm watch and storm watch and storm surge watch have been posted for coastal…
Invest 90L is not going to develop over the next few days due to strong southwesterly wind shear. However, by Friday shear will decrease as 90L lifts north into the Gulf of Mexico, likely allowing development into a tropical/sub-tropical depression…
The Central/Eastern Gulf of Mexico will need to be monitored for tropical development mid to late week. A surface trough over the Northwest Caribbean Sea is going to lift north into the Gulf by Wednesday. Most of the reliable model guidance…
A broad area of low pressure formed over the Southwest Caribbean Monday and was designated Invest 93-L yesterday. Invest 93-L was still located over the Southwest Caribbean as of Wednesday morning, but will lift into the Northwest Caribbean and Southeast…
An area of low pressure is going to from over the West Caribbean later this week – and it could develop into a tropical cyclone. Model Guidance: All three of the most most accurate, reliable models used for predicting tropical cyclone…