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  • Tropics, Featured

Karen Struggling; Likely to Turn West and West-Southwest This Weekend

Despite decreasing wind shear, Karen has yet to strengthen; in fact, based on data from a recon aircraft, Karen has actually weakened (again). As of 5 PM EDT/AST, Karen had sustained winds of 40 mph, a minimum pressure of 1003…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 25, 2019, 6:09 pm CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Karen Slightly Stronger; Forecast Uncertain

Karen is stronger this evening. As of 8 PM EDT/AST, Karen had sustained winds of 45 mph, a minimum pressure of 1003 mb, and was moving northeast at 10 mph. Forecast for Karen Not much has changed with regard to…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 24, 2019, 8:09 pm CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Tropical Update: Karen Disorganized; New Disturbance to Watch in Southern Gulf

There are currently three different active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic: Tropical Storm Jerry, Tropical Depression Karen, and Tropical Storm Lorenzo. Additionally, there is a new disturbance in the southern Gulf, near the Yucatan Peninsula, to watch. This update will…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 23, 2019, 7:42 pm CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Tropical Update: Newly Formed Tropical Storm Karen Bears Watching

Tropical Storm Karen (formerly Invest 99-L) has formed east of the Windward Islands. As of 5 AM EDT/AST, Karen had sustained winds of 40 mph, a minimum pressure of 1005 mb, and was moving west-northwest at 9 mph. Forecast for…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 22, 2019, 7:43 am CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Tropical Update: Jerry Weakening; Invest 99-L a Threat to Develop This Weekend

Jerry has started to weaken. As of 5 PM EDT/AST, Jerry had sustained winds of 80 mph, a minimum pressure of 991 mb, and was moving west-northwest at 18 mph. Forecast for Jerry Jerry is likely to continue to weaken…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 20, 2019, 6:08 pm CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Tropical Update: Atlantic Still Extremely Active

The Weather Prediction Center is still issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Imelda, and was centered about 55 miles northeast of Houston, Texas as of the most recent advisory. Forecast for Imelda Imelda will finally move out of Texas Friday, and…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 19, 2019, 5:57 pm CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Tropical Update: Imelda Lifting North Across East Texas; Tropical Storm Jerry Likely to Become a Hurricane

The Atlantic is very, very active, with three active cyclones: Humberto, Imelda, and Jerry. In addition, there are two disturbances being monitored for possible development. Humberto As of 8 PM CDT, Humberto had maximum sustained winds of 120 mph, a…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 18, 2019, 7:48 pm CDT
  • Tropics, News, Featured

Tropical Storm Imelda has Made Landfall Near Freeport, TX

Tropical Storm Imelda made landfall near Freeport, Texas at 1 PM CDT according to an Update Statement from the National Hurricane Center. At the time of landfall, sustained winds were 40 mph, and the the minimum pressure was 1005 mb,…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 17, 2019, 2:30 pm CDT
  • Tropics, News, Featured

BREAKING: Tropical Depression Eleven has Formed Near Texas Coast

UPDATE (1 PM CDT) – TD-11 has strengthened to Tropical Storm Imelda. Radar data, satellite data, and surface observations indicate that Invest 98-L has become organized enough to be upgraded to Tropical Depression Eleven (TD-11). As of 12 PM CDT,…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 17, 2019, 12:30 pm CDT
  • Tropics, News, Featured

BREAKING: Tropical Depression 10 has Formed

Invest 97-L has managed to become organized enough to be classified a tropical cyclone, prompting the National Hurricane Center to initiate advisories on Tropical Depression Ten (TD-10). As of 11 AM EDT/AST, maximum sustained winds were 35 mph, the minimum…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • September 17, 2019, 10:02 am CDT
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