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Another Low-End Severe Threat Expected Thursday; Unsettled for Reminder of The Week

Figure 1. Severe weather outlook for Thursday. (NOAA/SPC)

A passing shortwave is going to bring scattered to numerous showers and some embedded thunderstorms to the north and northeast Gulf Coast Thursday.

We anticipate another low-end severe threat. The Storm Prediction Center has defined a level 1 out of 5 (marginal) risk area for southeast Mississippi, south Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle.

However, just like today, any strong/severe storms will be isolated.

Currently, it looks like the main threat with any stronger storms will be strong wind gusts. Some periods of heavier rain are also likely.

Unsettled Pattern to Continue: Looking ahead, an unsettled pattern looks to remain in place for the northern Gulf Coast for the next week, as upper shortwaves will continue to traverse the region. It also looks like an area of low pressure could bring more widespread rain next Monday or Tuesday.

Overall, rain amounts of 2 – 4″ are forecast over the next week or so.

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