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  • Tropics, Featured

Invest 90-L in Southwest Caribbean Poised to Develop

Invest 90-L located in the Southwest Caribbean appears poised to develop as early as tonight or tomorrow. A United States Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigated invest 90-L earlier this afternoon and found a well defined circulation and. However, as…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • November 21, 2016, 4:12 am CST
  • Severe Weather, Featured

Isolated Severe Storms Possible Across Texas, Louisiana This Afternoon

Isolated severe strong to severe storms will be possible across portions of Texas and Louisiana this afternoon.  A cold front, currently located over North Texas, is going to push east across Texas and Louisiana this afternoon. A line of storms…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • November 18, 2016, 2:18 pm CST
  • Tropics, Featured

Late Season Tropical Development in Caribbean Likely Late This Week

A broad area of low pressure formed over the Southwest Caribbean today; and it was designated invest 90-l this morning.  All of the global model guidance, including the reliable ECMWF, forecasts development of invest 90-l by late this week or…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • November 16, 2016, 3:52 am CST
  • Tropics, Featured

Late Season Tropical Development Looking Increasingly Likely in Southwest Caribbean This Week

Late season tropical development is looking increasingly likely in the Southwest Caribbean Sea mid to late week this week. The ECMWF and it’s ensembles (EPS) began picking up on the potential for tropical development in the Southwest Caribbean last weekend.…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • November 14, 2016, 3:46 am CST
  • Gulf Coast WX, Featured

Pattern Change Still Likely Mid to Late Week Next Week

A pattern change still appears likely across the Gulf Coast Region, and essentially the entire Eastern and Central United States, next week. The reliable ECMWF and its ensembles (EPS) have been forecasting, and continue to forecast, the large ridge of high…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • November 10, 2016, 3:41 am CST
  • Gulf Coast WX, Climate, Extended Range, Featured

Pattern Change Likely Next Week

For the past month or two an expansive and persistent ridge of high pressure has been in place across much of the Gulf Coast Region (along with most of the country). Drought:  This ridge has caused below average rainfall and…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • November 8, 2016, 1:44 am CST
  • Severe Weather, Gulf Coast WX, Featured

Strong to Severe Storms Possible Across North MS and AL Tomorrow

There is a marginal risk of severe storms across Northern Mississippi and Alabama tomorrow, as strong to severe storms will be possible along and ahead of the cold front that will sweep across the Gulf Coast region tomorrow.  TIMING: A…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • October 20, 2016, 1:54 am CDT
  • Gulf Coast WX, Featured

Significant Cool Down, Wet Weather Likely Across Gulf Coast Late Week

A significant cool down is likely across the Gulf Coast region late this week into this weekend; as a strong front, most likely the strongest one of the season thus far, will sweep across the Gulf Coast region Wednesday through…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • October 18, 2016, 12:14 am CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

The West Caribbean Will Need to be Monitored for Tropical Development Next Week

The Western Caribbean will need to be monitored for tropical development next week, as model guidance has been, and still is, hinting at it. W Carib will need to be monitored for TC development next week, as model guidance is hinting…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • October 14, 2016, 1:44 am CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Matthew now a Category 2; Now Located Northeast of Florida

Position and intensity As of the 8:00PM EDT intermediate advisory category 2 hurricane Matthew was located northeast of Florida, at 30.7 degrees north and 80.6 degrees west. Maximum sustained winds were 110 miles per-hour, the minimum central pressure was 948…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • October 8, 2016, 12:27 am CDT
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