A broad area of low pressure formed over the Southwest Caribbean today; and it was designated invest 90-l this morning. All of the global model guidance, including the reliable ECMWF, forecasts development of invest 90-l by late this week or…
Late season tropical development is looking increasingly likely in the Southwest Caribbean Sea mid to late week this week. The ECMWF and it’s ensembles (EPS) began picking up on the potential for tropical development in the Southwest Caribbean last weekend.…
A pattern change still appears likely across the Gulf Coast Region, and essentially the entire Eastern and Central United States, next week. The reliable ECMWF and its ensembles (EPS) have been forecasting, and continue to forecast, the large ridge of high…
For the past month or two an expansive and persistent ridge of high pressure has been in place across much of the Gulf Coast Region (along with most of the country). Drought: This ridge has caused below average rainfall and…
There is a marginal risk of severe storms across Northern Mississippi and Alabama tomorrow, as strong to severe storms will be possible along and ahead of the cold front that will sweep across the Gulf Coast region tomorrow. TIMING: A…
A significant cool down is likely across the Gulf Coast region late this week into this weekend; as a strong front, most likely the strongest one of the season thus far, will sweep across the Gulf Coast region Wednesday through…
The Western Caribbean will need to be monitored for tropical development next week, as model guidance has been, and still is, hinting at it. W Carib will need to be monitored for TC development next week, as model guidance is hinting…
Position and intensity As of the 8:00PM EDT intermediate advisory category 2 hurricane Matthew was located northeast of Florida, at 30.7 degrees north and 80.6 degrees west. Maximum sustained winds were 110 miles per-hour, the minimum central pressure was 948…
Position and intensity As of the 8:00PM EDT intermediate advisory category 4 hurricane Matthew was located at 26.6 degrees north and 78.9 degrees west. Maximum sustained winds were 130 miles per-hour, the minimum central pressure was 939 millibars, and movement…
Position and intensity As of the 8:00PM EDT intermediate advisory the center of category 3 Hurricane Matthew was located at 23.0 degrees north and 76.0 degrees west. Maximum sustained winds were 115 miles per-hour, the minimum central pressure was 962…