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Update on the Threat for Flooding, Severe Weather This Week

A heavy rain/flood threat is going still in store for the South this week . There are also now two separate severe weather threats to watch this week. Heavy Rain/Flood Threat Before we get to the severe weather potential, we…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • February 18, 2019, 6:30 pm CST
  • Severe Weather

Multi-Day Excessive Rain Event to Unfold in Southeast Next Week

A multi-day excessive rain event is likely to unfold across parts of the South this upcoming week. Additionally, there is also some potential for severe storms. Setup To simplify things, an active storm track and stalled front will work to…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • February 17, 2019, 4:04 pm CST
  • Severe Weather

Cold Front Could Bring a Few Strong to Severe Storms Tomorrow, Tuesday

A few strong to severe storms will be possible from east Texas to the western Florida Panhandle tomorrow into Tuesday with a cold front. Tomorrow The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has defined a marginal risk area from east Texas to…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • February 10, 2019, 3:36 pm CST
  • Severe Weather, Gulf Coast WX

Severe Weather Threat Today and Tomorrow

A storm system located in the Southern Plains is going to begin the trek toward the Tennessee Valley today. Like we discussed, this system will bring a trailing front through the South. There will be a severe threat along/ahead of the…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • January 18, 2019, 3:26 pm CST
  • Severe Weather

Threat for Strong to Severe Storms to Ring in 2019

Initially, we expect storms to form along an eastward moving front late this morning and early this afternoon. Meanwhile, a broken band of storms will also evolve during the afternoon/evening hours (see figure 1). This band will move in tandem…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • December 31, 2018, 1:31 pm CST
  • Severe Weather, Gulf Coast WX

Multiple Storm Systems to Keep Unsettled Pattern in Place into the New Year

A unsettled weather pattern is going to continue into the New Year, with two more storm systems set to impact the Gulf Coast States. The front that moved through yesterday is still expected to stall along the north-central Gulf Coast…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • December 29, 2018, 12:05 am CST
  • Severe Weather

Line of Strong to Severe Storms to Sweep East Tonight into Tomorrow

A  line of strong/severe storms is going to sweep east tonight through tomorrow, and will be followed up by heavy rain/flood threat through weekend. Severe Threat:  A line of strong to severe storms is going to form in central Texas,…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • December 26, 2018, 3:04 pm CST
  • Severe Weather, Gulf Coast WX

Post-Christmas Storm System to Bring Dual Flash Flood, Severe Weather Threat

A post-Christmas storm system is going to eject northeast, out the Plains, Wednesday -Friday, bringing a trailing front into the the Gulf Coast States. Gulf of Mexico moisture will be advected (drawn) north, leading to widespread heavy rain and storms.…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • December 24, 2018, 4:01 pm CST
  • Severe Weather, Gulf Coast WX

Turning Active After Christmas

Mostly tranquil weather is expected from Texas to the Florida Panhandle for Christmas. However, toward the middle to latter half of next week, things will become active. During the Wednesday-Friday time frame, a storm system is expected to eject out…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • December 23, 2018, 6:56 pm CST
  • Severe Weather, Gulf Coast WX, Featured

More Gloomy Weather Mid-Week as Next Storm System Moves Through

A deepening upper-level trough will pivot out of the Plains mid to late Wednesday. On Wednesday night, the southern portion of the trough will close off, forming an upper low. An area of surface low pressure will also develop over…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • December 18, 2018, 1:24 am CST
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