A few strong to severe storms will be possible from east Texas to the western Florida Panhandle tomorrow into Tuesday with a cold front.
Tomorrow
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has defined a marginal risk area from east Texas to north and central Mississippi (see figure 1).
Moisture advection is going to take place ahead of the front. By late afternoon/early evening, some showers and storms will develop, with a line segment potentially forming during the late evening.
Should the squall line evolve, there could be some wind damage and a brief tornado or two. However, low instability is expected to keep the severe threat isolated.
Tuesday
The SPC has once again highlighted a marginal risk area; southeast Louisiana and Mississippi, south and central Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle are included.
Assuming the squall line comes to fruition, it will sweep east across the central Gulf Coast region during the morning into the early afternoon.
Any embedded strong/severe storms will continue to pose an isolated damaging wind threat. But it looks like the better dynamics will lift off to the north mid/late afternoon. This would cause the overall severe threat to diminish.
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