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  • Tropics, Featured

Barry to Make Landfall as a Hurricane Overnight; Coastal Flooding, Surge Already Reported

While the disheveled, lopsided appearance might suggest otherwise, Barry strengthen today. As of the 7 PM CDT advisory, Barry had maximum sustained winds of 65 MPH and a minimum central pressure of 993 millibars. Movement was to the west-northwest at…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • July 12, 2019, 6:41 pm CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Barry to Make Landfall in Louisiana Tomorrow

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two was upgraded to Tropical Storm Barry yesterday morning. Barry had strengthened to a 50 MPH tropical storm by the 10 PM CDT advisory last night. Intensity has held steady since. As of the 7 AM CDT…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • July 12, 2019, 9:18 am CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Likely to Become a Tropical Depression or Storm Today

Potential Tropical Cyclone (PTC) Two is likely to become a tropical depression later today, and attain the name “Barry” by tomorrow. Analysis A reconnaissance aircraft this morning found a minimum central pressure of 1003 millibars, indicating that PTC Two has…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • July 11, 2019, 9:18 am CDT
  • News, Featured

Louisiana Declares State of Emergency Ahead of Potential Tropical Cyclone

A state of emergency has been declared in Louisiana ahead of Potential Tropical Cyclone Two. I have issued a state of emergency today in preparation for the impact of the low-pressure system in the Gulf of Mexico. The system will…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • July 10, 2019, 2:58 pm CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

92L Likely to Become “Barry” by Tomorrow; Hurricane Looking Quite Possible

It is almost certain that 92L will become “Barry” later today or tomorrow. Latest from the National Hurricane Center The chance of development is now up to 90 percent for both the next 2 days and 5 days. In their…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • July 10, 2019, 9:09 am CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Brief Afternoon Update on Invest 92L: Concerning Model Trend

Invest 92L has moved offshore, and is now located in the northeast Gulf of Mexico. Latest from the National Hurricane Center Per the 2 PM EDT Tropical Weather Outlook, Invest 92L now has a high chance – 70 percent –…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • July 9, 2019, 2:03 pm CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Invest 92L Highly Likely to Become a Tropical Cyclone by Thursday

Invest 92L is located over northern Florida this morning, and will drop down into the Gulf later today or tonight. Development is highly likely. Latest from the National Hurricane Center There is now a 50 percent (medium) chance of development…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • July 9, 2019, 9:06 am CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Invest 92L Designated; 80 Percent Chance of Development

The disturbance over Georgia now was designated Invest 92L by the National Hurricane Center this morning. 92L has an 80 percent chance of developing over the next 5 days as of the 2 PM EDT Tropical Weather Outlook. Here is…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • July 8, 2019, 1:34 pm CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Tropical Update: High Chance of Development in Northern Gulf

The disturbance we have been tracking, now located in the Southeast U.S. (see figure 1), has a high chance of developing in the northern Gulf later this week. Latest from the National Hurricane Center Here is the latest from the…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • July 8, 2019, 7:53 am CDT
  • Tropics, Featured

Tropical Update: Potential for Gulf of Mexico Development Next Week Increasing

The potential for tropical development in the northeast Gulf of Mexico next week is increasing. Latest from the National Hurricane Center Here is the latest from from the NHC as of their 2 PM EDT Tropical Weather Outlook: A trough…

  • Caleb Carmichael
  • July 6, 2019, 4:47 pm CDT
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