There are now three areas of interest in the Atlantic. In addition to Invest 92L in the Bay of Campeche, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of low pressure off the coast of North Carolina and a strong…

The disturbance in the Bay of Campeche was designated Invest 92L yesterday. All this means is that the National Hurricane Center wants to take a closer look at the system and get additional data on it. The National Hurricane Center…

The chances of tropical development in the western Gulf of Mexico next week continue to go up. The National Hurricane Center has increased the chance of tropical cyclone formation in the Bay of Campeche to 40 percent (medium chance) over…

We are finally starting to get some clarity on possible tropical development in the western Gulf/Bay of Campeche next week. At this point, it is likely that a broad low/disturbance is going to develop in the Bay of Campeche by…

The National Hurricane Center has dropped the area of interest in the southwest Caribbean from the tropical weather outlook. This is not surprising as it had become evident that development was unlikely. Not much has changed with the potential for…

Tropical development remains a possibility in the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico late this week through next week. The National Hurricane Center continues to highlight the southwest Caribbean for a low chance (10 percent) of tropical development. A broad area…

You might or might not have seen some chatter on social media about possible tropical development in the western Caribbean/Gulf of Mexico toward the middle of this month. Model guidance has been hinting at the potential for the past week…