There is potential for a significant severe weather event to unfold across parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, Arkansas, and Tennessee Tuesday. An enhanced (level 3 out of 5) risk area has been defined by the Storm Prediction Center.
While it is still a bit early for specifics, it does look like all modes of severe weather (tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail) will be possible.
The SPC used strong wording in their day 3 convective outlook issued at 0841z (2:41 AM CST) today stating that a “tornado outbreak will be possible across parts of the lower to mid Mississippi Valley, if the current forecast parameters… remain at current forecast levels.”
Timing looks to be Saturday afternoon into the overnight hours. While confidence is low, the risk could shift east into areas such as Alabama and the Florida Panhandle Wednesday. If the risk for severe weather does shift east Wednesday it would likely be much lower, however.
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