Invest 99L Becoming Better Organized in Bay of Campeche

An area of low pressure (Invest 99L) emerged in the Bay of Campeche this morning and is showing signs of organization. The National Hurricane Center has been monitoring Invest 99L for tropical development for the past few days over the Caribbean.

Convective (shower and thunderstorm) activity has increased and become more persistent/concentrated throughout the day, indicating Invest 99L is becoming better organized. A USAF Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft is enroute to investigate Invest 99L at the time of this writing.

Wind shear was somewhat high this morning but has abated a bit this afternoon based on the latest shear analysis from CIMSS. The NHC is now giving Invest 99L a high (70 percent) chance of developing into a tropical cyclone.

18z track guidance for Invest 99L. (Tropical Tidbits)

Invest 99L will come onshore in northeast Mexico tomorrow; the latest track guidance is in excellent agreement on this. Given that Invest 99L has a limited amount of time left over water, it is unlikely to become too strong should it develop into a TC. A tropical depression or tropical storm would be the most likely outcome.

Regardless of development, Invest 99L will bring some much needed rain to parts of south Texas.

Should Invest 99L become a tropical storm it will take the name Danielle.

For future updates be sure to follow us on FacebookTwitter, and Instagram and our partner page Daimien’s Atlantic/Pacific Hurricane Tracking Center. You can also subscribe to our Substack newsletter:

Caleb Carmichael
Caleb Carmichael

Caleb is the owner of Gulf Coast Storm Center. He is currently an undergraduate student at Mississippi State University majoring in geoscience with a concentration in broadcast and operational meteorology. While not yet a meteorologist, Caleb has been providing weather updates, news, and analysis for the Gulf Coast since 2014.

Articles: 884