A fairly significant severe weather event is set to unfold across the South and Southeast tomorrow. Many of the same areas impacted by severe weather last weekend are at risk once again.
Northeast Louisiana, central and south Mississippi, and central and south Alabama have been upgraded to a moderate (level 4 out of 5) risk. A broad enhanced (level 3 out of 5) risk for severe weather also remains in place.
It is expected that a squall line will develop over the Ark-La-Tex region by tomorrow evening before shifting into Mississippi and Alabama tomorrow evening/night.
Outside of the squall line, additional convective activity (individual storms and/or clusters of storms) will be likely across east Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle. It is impossible to pin down exact timing of this activity for each region.
Here is a rough estimate of timing for each region/state:
- East Texas: tomorrow morning – afternoon.
- Louisiana: tomorrow morning – night.
- Mississippi: tomorrow morning – night.
- Alabama: tomorrow morning – night.
- Florida Panhandle: tomorrow morning – night.
The greatest threat for severe weather will come tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night across northeast Louisiana and central/south Mississippi and Alabama.
All modes of severe weather (tornadoes, damaging winds, and hail) will be possible.
The squall line in particular will have potential to produce widespread damaging wind, but a few embedded tornadoes can’t be ruled out.
