There is a chance for some tropical and/or subtropical development just south of Bermuda early next week.
Special TWO issued for the Atlantic… 30% chance for tropical/subtropical development over the next 5 days. pic.twitter.com/727XgRMxTw
— Gulf Coast Storm Center (@GCSCWX) May 17, 2019
Currently, an area of low pressure is expected to form on Sunday, and could possibly acquire some tropical/subtropical characteristics Monday or Tuesday before getting absorbed by an upper-level trough.
Of the three most reliable models used for predicting tropical cyclone genesis (the ECMWF, UKMET and GFS), only the ECMWF was showing development as of the 00z model cycle.
The National Hurricane Center issued a Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this potential this morning, giving a 30% chance of development over the next 5 days.
Even if this system develops, it won’t pose a threat to the Gulf Coast or United States.
NOTE: We mentioned this possibility this morning in a tropical weather briefing for our premium subscribers. If you are interested in becoming a subscriber, click HERE to view our different subscription tiers and sign up.