Spring-like weather is likely to continue into at least the middle of the month.
Based on the latest the EPS and GEFS runs, above-average heights are favored across much of the Southeast through the 10-day period. Conversely, below-average heights are favored in the West thanks to a persistent trough.
This pattern will feature generally warmer than normal temperatures for much of the South and East through mid-February. Wetter than usual conditions are also probable for parts of the South, as there should be an active storm track out of the Plains.
The latest 6 – 10 day temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) reflect this (see figure 1); it shows a 70% chance of above average temperatures for the entire Gulf Coast from the 14th – 18th.
However, it should be noted that there will still be a few shots of colder air in between. But don’t expect any arctic blasts like we saw to close out January.
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