Pattern Change to Close Out July; Below Average Temperatures Likely

Figure 1. Latest 6 – 10 day temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center.

Tired of the oppressive heat? If so, we have some good news: a change in the upper-level pattern should result in cooler temperatures for much of the Gulf Coast Region is in sight.

As we close out July and enter August, the persistent ridging that has been in place will be pushed to the west by a trough across the Central US. The trough should bring cooler air and average to slightly below average temperatures to the Gulf Coast States; it should also bring above average precipitation. However, much of South/Central Texas and the Florida Peninsula will likely still have to contend with above average temperatures.

Temperatures won’t drop too significantly, but rather just enough to be noticeable. Highs will go from the upper 90s/lower-mid 100s that have recently been experienced to the mid/upper 80s and lower 90s.

The change to average to below average temperatures can be clearly seen in the latest 6 – 10 day temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center (see figure 1).

Going by climatology, this is right on time. Most areas along the Gulf Coast usually experience their hottest day of the year between July 15th and August 1st or August 1st and August 15th.


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For an official, accurate weather forecast specific to your local area go to weather.gov and enter your zip code or consult your local National Weather Service.

Caleb Carmichael
Caleb Carmichael

Caleb is the owner of Gulf Coast Storm Center. He is currently an undergraduate student at Mississippi State University majoring in geoscience with a concentration in broadcast and operational meteorology. While not yet a meteorologist, Caleb has been providing weather updates, news, and analysis for the Gulf Coast since 2014.

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