Tropical Development Looking Increasingly Likely in Northwest Caribbean Late Week

Tropical development is looking increasingly likely in the Northwest Caribbean late this week into this weekend.

Model guidance has been — and still is — indicating that an area of disturbed weather currently located near Panama will move north into the Northwest Caribbean around Friday, and make an attempt at spinning up into a tropical depression or storm, before lifting north into the Gulf of Mexico this weekend.

The National Hurricane Center has taken note of the potential for tropical development in the Northwest Caribbean this weekend, placing the chance of tropical cyclone formation at 30% over the next 5 days in their 8 AM EDT Tropical Weather Outlook.

If something does develop, it is to early to determine where it would track or how strong it would become. However, chances are that somewhere along the U.S. Gulf Coast would be impacted – likely during the Sunday – Tuesday time frame.


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