There appears to be some potential for tropical development in the Western Gulf of Mexico this weekend.
Tropical Depression Two-E
Tropical depression two formed in the Eastern Pacific today, along the West Coast of Mexico. It is expected to make landfall tomorrow as a tropical storm.
Development in the Western Gulf of Mexico?
Then, there are some indications that some energy from TD-2 will crossover into the Southwestern Gulf this weekend and interact with some other features, resulting in the formation of an area of low pressure.
Some of the more reliable model guidance, such as the ECMWF and GFS, then forecast this low to develop into a tropical depression or weak tropical storm.
However, the overall potential for tropical development seems low at this time, as wind shear is still high across most of the Gulf of Mexico. And if something does manage to develop, it would be weak and sheared.
Heavy Rainfall for Most of the Gulf Coast
Regardless of tropical development, a surge of deep tropical moisture from the low will result in a period of heavy rainfall from the Florida Peninsula to Texas through at least early to mid-week next week.
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