Potential for Severe Weather Tomorrow, Thursday

Severe weather will be possible across parts of the region tomorrow, and Thursday. Meanwhile, a more significant threat appears to be on the horizon this weekend into early next week.

Tomorrow

Timing: A squall line is expected to develop across parts of East Texas and West Louisiana ahead of a cold front tomorrow afternoon. It will progress east across the threat area into the overnight hours, in tandem with the front.

Placement: There will be some potential for severe weather with the squall line.

Convective outlook for tomorrow.

The greatest potential for severe weather will be in the category 2 (“slight”) risk area. However, there will also be a low-end threat for severe weather in the category 1 (“marginal”) risk area.

Threats: All modes of severe weather will be threats tomorrow. However, the greatest threats will be damaging winds and hail.

Thursday

The potential for severe weather will shift into Alabama and the Florida Panhandle Thursday, as the squall line progresses east (although it will be weakening/breaking apart by this time).

Timing: The squall line will be pushing through Alabama and the Florida Panhandle during the morning hours.

Convective outlook for Thursday.

Placement: The greatest potential for severe weather Thursday will be in the category 1 (“marginal”) risk area.

Threats: The main threat will be damaging winds. However, an isolated tornado or two can’t be ruled out.

This Weekend into Early Next Week

It appears increasingly likely that a severe weather event, potentially a significant one, will unfold across most of the region this weekend into early next week. However, it is too early to give anymore information at this time.

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