It appears this week is going to be active, with two rounds of severe expected to impact much of the region.
The first round of storms is expected during the middle to latter half of this week.
Setup: A storm system is expected to push across the parts of the South and Midwest Wednesday through Friday, bringing a cold front from west to east across the region.
Storms will develop along and ahead of it as it pushes across the region, and the necessary parameters will likely be in place to support a severe weather threat.
Potential placement: At this time, it looks like there will be a severe weather threat across East Texas and West Louisiana on Wednesday.
The greatest threat severe weather threat will be in the “slight” and “enhanced” risk areas.
The threat will then shift east, to much of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the extreme Western Florida Panhandle on Thursday, where the Storm Prediction Center has hatched the equivalent of a “slight” risk of severe weather.
Threats: While it is likely that severe weather will return to much of the region on Wednesday and Thursday, it is too early to pin down details such as specific timing, potential threats, and the overall magnitude of the severe weather threat.
The second round of severe storms is expected between Sunday and Monday, in association with another storms system.
However, it is too early to discuss the threat this weekend in detail; just know that the threat is there. We will have more details in a day or two.
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