Threat for Severe Weather Across Much of the Region This Afternoon Through Tomorrow

There is a threat for severe weather across a decent portion of the region this afternoon through tomorrow.

Setup: A storm system will move across the Midwest this afternoon through tomorrow, bringing a cold front east across the region.

Storms, likely a line of them, will develop along and ahead of the front as it pushes through the region, and the parameters, such as instability and high dew points, will be in place to allow for some of them to become strong to severe.

Severe weather outlook for today. The greatest threat for severe weather will be in the “enhanced” risk area.

Placement: The severe weather threat this afternoon and evening will be across East Texas, much of Louisiana, and West Mississippi, with the greatest threat being where the Storm Prediction Center has hatched an “enhanced” and “slight” risk for severe weather.

Severe weather outlook for tomorrow. The greatest threat for severe weather will be in the “slight” risk area.

The threat will then push into Southeast Louisiana, much of Mississippi and Alabama, and the Western Florida Panhandle on Saturday, with the greatest threat again being where the Storm Prediction Center has hatched a “slight” risk for severe weather.

Timing: Storms will develop across East Texas late this afternoon, and push into Louisiana and West Mississippi overnight and early tomorrow morning. From there, they will progress across the remainder of Mississippi, and much of Alabama and the Florida Panhandle throughout the day tomorrow into tomorrow evening.

Threats: Damaging winds and hail will be likely hazards. However, an isolated tornado or two is also a concern.

Next Week: Looking ahead to next week, it looks like there will be multiple severe weather threats. However, its still too early to discuss those prospects in detail at this time.

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