Severe weather remains likely across much of East and Southeast Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the extreme Western Florida Panhandle this afternoon, overnight tonight, and into tomorrow morning.
There is an “enhanced” risk of severe weather across East Louisiana, much of Mississippi, and Northwest Alabama.
There is a “slight” risk of severe weather from West Louisiana, east to Mobile, AL, and north to Northern Alabama Mississippi, and Mississippi.
There is a “marginal” risk from West Louisiana, east to the Western Florida Panhandle, and north to Northern Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana.
Timing: Discrete storms will develop across much of Eastern and Southeastern Louisiana and West Mississippi this afternoon and evening. They should then eventually evolve into a line segment late tonight, and progress east overnight and into tomorrow morning.
Severe threat: High convective available potential energy (CAPE), shear, and dew points 60s and lows 70s will support the potential for severe weather this afternoon through tomorrow morning, with all modes of severe weather being possible.
Significant tornado paremeter (STP) values suggest a couple of strong tornadoes ( EF3 or higher) will be possible, mainly in the “enhanced” risk area.
The tornado threat will decrease when the storms congeal into a squall line, or multiple line segments, tonight; with the main threat becoming damaging straight line winds.
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