TROPICAL UPDATE: Invest 92-L Disorganized, Unlikely to Develop

As of 9:00PM EDT invest 92-L was located over the Southeast Gulf of Mexico at 23.8 degrees north 84.2 degrees west, had maximum sustained winds of 25mph, a minimum central pressure of 1013 millibars, and was moving to the west-southwest.

Forecast for 92-L

Invest 92-L still has a well defined surface circulation; but, due to unfavorable environmental conditions, it has little to no associated thunderstorm activity.

92-L will continue to track west across the Southern Gulf of Mexico over the next several days, reaching the Western Gulf of Mexico by the middle of this upcoming week.

Development odds

 

Environmental conditions are expected to remain unfavorable for tropical development across the Southern and Western Gulf of Mexico over the next five days; and none of the reliable model guidance (ECMWF, GFS, UKMET, and CMC) develops invest 92-L.

In their 8:00PM EDT tropical weather outlook the National Hurricane Center gave invest 92-L a low chance (10% )chance of developing over the next 2 days and 5 days.

Overall, development of invest 92-L is unlikely.

This will be our final update on invest 92-L unless it somehow manages to develop (which is unlikely).

 

Caleb Carmichael
Caleb Carmichael

Caleb is the owner of Gulf Coast Storm Center. He is currently an undergraduate student at Mississippi State University majoring in geoscience with a concentration in broadcast and operational meteorology. While not yet a meteorologist, Caleb has been providing weather updates, news, and analysis for the Gulf Coast since 2014.

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