Models Picking up on Potential Development in the Northwest Caribbean or Western Gulf in 7 – 10 Days

Some of the model guidance – particularly the GFS – has been consistently forecasting a tropical cyclone to develop over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea between June 28th and July 4th for the past several days. Model guidance: The GFS is forecasting an area of low pressure to develop from a tropical …

BREAKING: TD4 Becomes Tropical Storm Danielle Over Southern Gulf

Tropical depression 4 has been upgraded to tropical storm Danielle this morning over the Southwest Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center upgraded TD4 to tropical storm Danielle this morning; This makes Danielle the earliest 4th tropical storm on record to form in the Atlantic basin beating Debby of 2012 by …

Invest 94-L is Likelyto Become a Tropical Depression Today

Invest 94-L  appears poised to become the next tropical depression and potentially 4th named storm of the 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season sometime later today  or tomorrow. Location: 94-L is currently located over the Bay of Campeche at 20.3°N 94.3°W. 94-l is currently moving WNW and has maximum sustained winds of about 30kts …

Invest 94-L Tagged; Could Develop Over Southern Gulf

A tropical wave located over Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula has been tagged as invest 94-L this morning. Development odds: Invest 94-L does have some potential to develop over the Bay of Campeche over the next three to four days. However, it does have three factors working against it. The first will be its …

Line of Strong Storms to Impact Central Gulf Coast Region This Afternoon

There is now a threat for some strong to severe storms across parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle this afternoon and evening. Accordingly, the Storm Prediction Center has hatched parts of the Central Gulf Coast Region in a slight risk for severe storms. Setup: Multiple clusters of strong …

Models Still Hinting at Potential Gulf Development in 6 – 8 Days

Some of the model guidance continues to pick up on potential tropical development in the Western Gulf of Mexico between June 18th and 21st.  Models: The GFS, ECMWF, CMC, and NAVGEM models are all forecasting an area of low pressure to form in the Western or Southwestern Gulf early next week. And some of the …