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Invest 94-L is Likelyto Become a Tropical Depression Today

Invest 94-L  appears poised to become the next tropical depression and potentially 4th named storm of the 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season sometime later today  or tomorrow. Location: 94-L is currently located over the Bay of Campeche at 20.3°N 94.3°W. 94-l is currently moving WNW and has maximum sustained winds of about 30kts… Continue reading

Invest 94-L Tagged; Could Develop Over Southern Gulf

A tropical wave located over Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula has been tagged as invest 94-L this morning. Development odds: Invest 94-L does have some potential to develop over the Bay of Campeche over the next three to four days. However, it does have three factors working against it. The first will be its… Continue reading

Line of Strong Storms to Impact Central Gulf Coast Region This Afternoon

There is now a threat for some strong to severe storms across parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle this afternoon and evening. Accordingly, the Storm Prediction Center has hatched parts of the Central Gulf Coast Region in a slight risk for severe storms. Setup: Multiple clusters of strong… Continue reading

Models Still Hinting at Potential Gulf Development in 6 – 8 Days

Some of the model guidance continues to pick up on potential tropical development in the Western Gulf of Mexico between June 18th and 21st.  Models: The GFS, ECMWF, CMC, and NAVGEM models are all forecasting an area of low pressure to form in the Western or Southwestern Gulf early next week. And some of the… Continue reading

Models Still Hinting at Possible Gulf Development Next Week

Some of the model guidance continues to pick up on potential tropical development in the Western Gulf of Mexico between June 18th and 21st.  Models: The GFS, ECMWF, CMC, and NAVGEM models are all forecasting an area of low pressure to form in the Western or Southwestern Gulf early next week. And some of the… Continue reading

Ridge to Bring Excessive Heat Wednesday Through Sunday

A strong ridge of high pressure is expected to build across parts of the Southwest and South-Central U.S. this by mid-week and remain in place through at least this weekend. The ridge will cause excessive and dangerous heat across parts of the Gulf Coast region from Wednesday through this weekend; and high… Continue reading

Strong to Severe Storms Possible Today

A weak upper-level low will move East across the Central Gulf Coast today. As the upper-low moves across the region it should cause scattered strong to marginally severe storms to develop across parts of Louisiana, Mississippi,  Alabama, and parts of the Florida Panhandle today. However, it is important to note that… Continue reading

Models Picking up on Potential Gulf Development in 7 – 10 Days

Some of the long range model guidance is beginning to pick up on potential tropical development in the Western Gulf of Mexico June 18th and June 21st.  Models: The past several runs of the GFS model have been forecasting an area of low pressure to develop over Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula around… Continue reading

El Niño is Officially Over

  According to the latest National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ENSO Diagnostic Discussion the 2015 – 2016 El Niño event is over; and neutral conditions have returned the equatorial Pacific Ocean.   El Niño dissipated and ENSO-neutral conditions returned during over the past month, as indicated by the expansion of near-to-below… Continue reading

Tropical Storm Colin Nearing Landfall

Tropical storm Colin is nearing landfall this and is currently located just off shore of the coastline of the Big Bend  region of Florida. Tropical storm Colin is currently located  at 29.8°N 83.8°W. Colin is currently moving northeast at 22mph and has maintained its intensity today and still has maximum sustained… Continue reading

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