Severe Threat to Shift East

Our second disturbance is set to eject out of Texas and into the lower Mississippi River Valley tonight through tomorrow night/early Monday.  Several waves of storms are still expected, with heavy rain and at least a few strong/severe storms likely.…

Update on Today’s Severe Weather Threat

A level 3 (enhanced) risk for severe weather has now been outlined from east-central Texas to far northwest Mississippi for today (see figure 1). Currently, a mesoscale convective system (MCS) is tracking east across northeast Texas. This MCS is sub-severe,…

Potential for Severe Weather Late This Week

A shortwave and surface low are expected to track from the Plains Thursday to the Mid-Atlantic by Friday. Ahead of these features, moisture will be transported north, ultimately aiding in the development of widespread showers/thunderstorms (see figure 1). High CAPE…