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Impactful Storm System now Likely to Close out the Week

An impactful storm system is now likely to close out the week; it will bring heavy rain and the potential for strong/severe storms from Texas to the Florida Panhandle Friday through Saturday. On Friday, a surface low is expected to develop along the Western Gulf Coast. This will be in… Continue reading

Heavy Rain and Severe Threat Monday Ahead of a Strong Cold Front

An upper-level trough is going to dig southward Monday and Tuesday, bringing another strong cold front with it. Heavy rain An area of surface low pressure is expected to develop over the Northwest Gulf late tomorrow/Monday in association with the front; it will track northeast into the central Gulf Coast… Continue reading

Coldest air of the Season so Far Arrives This Weekend; Likely to Stick Around Into Next Week

The coldest air of the season so far is on the way this weekend. Meanwhile, a second,  more significant blast of arctic air is likely next week. The latest 6 – 10 day temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center reflects this well (see figure 1). Initially it looked like… Continue reading

Arctic Blast Likely at end of the Week

A blast of arctic air is likely late this week, and should bring the coldest temperatures of the season so far. Both the EPS and GEFS are advertising the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) to go into negative territory around the 6th/7th. This would favor development of an upper-level trough over the… Continue reading

Severe Weather Outbreak Likely for Parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama Next Week

A severe weather outbreak is likely for parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama early this upcoming week. On Monday, a negatively tilted upper-level trough is going to develop over the Central part of the country.  A mid-latitude cyclone (area of low pressure) is going to deepen while moving into the… Continue reading

Severe Weather Outbreak Possible Next Week

Another severe weather outbreak is looking possible early next week. Monday into Tuesday, a negative tilt upper-level trough is going to develop over the Central part of the country.  At the same time, a mid-latitude cyclone (area of low pressure) is going to deepen while moving into the Midwest and… Continue reading

Threat for Severe Weather From Texas to the Lower MS River Valley Today Through Tomorrow

A severe weather event is likely to unfold from Texas into the lower Mississippi River Valley through tomorrow. Today and tonight:  A cold front is currently positioned across North Texas per the latest surface analysis. This front is going to shift south and east over the next 24 – 48… Continue reading

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