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Severe Weather Outbreak Possible Next Week

Figure 1. Severe weather outlook for tomorrow.

Another severe weather outbreak is looking possible early next week.

Monday into Tuesday, a negative tilt upper-level trough is going to develop over the Central part of the country.  At the same time, a mid-latitude cyclone (area of low pressure) is going to deepen while moving into the Midwest and Great Lakes. The cyclone will bring a trailing cold front south through the Gulf Coast states.

The aforementioned front will advect moisture from the Gulf of Mexico north, destabilizing the atmosphere, which should trigger thunderstorm development along/ahead of the front. Strong winds aloft could then allow for storms to become strong to potentially severe.

Figure 2 .Severe weather outlook for Tuesday.

The Storm Prediction Center has already defined a risk area for both Monday and Tuesday (see figures 1 and 2). However, details have yet to be ironed out. Although, as of now, all modes of severe weather (including tornadoes) appear to be on the table.


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About Caleb Carmichael

Owner and forecaster at Gulf Coast Storm Center and Florida Panhandle Weather • Skywarn storm spotter • Not (yet) a meteorologist • Follow me on Twitter @WX_Caleb

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