Another Round of Rain, Storms Tonight and Tomorrow; Strong Arctic Front Late Week

The surface low has begun to advance off to the northeast, and will eject out of the Gulf Coast region tomorrow into tomorrow night; bringing another round of heavy rain and strong, to possibly severe, storms to the Central Gulf Coast.

Recap: The surface low brought another round of heavy rain and storms (some severe) to Southern Texas and much of Louisiana, Mississippi Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle today.


Severe threat tomorrow: Strong to severe storms remain possible across the Central Gulf Coast tomorrow, along and south of a warm front associated with the low.

 

Storm Prediction Center convective outlook for tomorrow
Storm Prediction Center convective outlook for tomorrow

 

Presently it looks like the greatest potential for strong to severe storms will be tomorrow afternoon and evening, across Southeast Louisiana, Southern Mississippi and Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle; where there is a “slight” risk for severe weather. The main threats posed by any storms that manage to become severe tomorrow will be strong wind gusts and a few isolated tornadoes.


Heavy rainfall: Another round of heavy rain and storms is expected across the Western and Central Gulf Coast early tomorrow morning and through the day tomorrow. An additional 1 – 2″ of rain is expected across most of the Western and Central Gulf Coast, with another 2 – 4″ possible across Southwest Louisiana and the Florida Panhandle.

 

HRRR simulated radar valid 8:00am CST tomorrow
HRRR simulated radar valid 8:00am CST tomorrow

 

Flash flooding is still a concern across Southeast Texas and Southwest Louisiana, where flash flood watches remain in place through tomorrow morning and tomorrow afternoon.


Arctic blast: The first strong Arctic front of the season is still expected to sweep across the Gulf Coast Region late this week. The latest data indicates that low temperatures will be in the 30s all the way down to the coast Thursday night, with 40s possible down into Central Florida and extreme Southern Texas.

 

Additionally, it appears high temperatures likely won’t get out of the 40s across much of the North/Central Gulf Coast on Friday.

 

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Caleb Carmichael
Caleb Carmichael

Caleb is the owner of Gulf Coast Storm Center. He is currently an undergraduate student at Mississippi State University majoring in geoscience with a concentration in broadcast and operational meteorology. While not yet a meteorologist, Caleb has been providing weather updates, news, and analysis for the Gulf Coast since 2014.

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